Federal debt rating downgrade by end-2026
Resolves: S&P, Moody's, or Fitch downgrades US sovereign debt rating between August 8 and December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Federal debt rating downgrade by end-2026
Market overview
Major credit agency cuts US debt rating due to fiscal policy gridlock or unsustainable debt levels.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
S&P, Moody's, or Fitch downgrades US sovereign debt rating between August 8 and December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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