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Global education aid drops by 30% by December 2026

Resolves: Global education aid funding from OECD Development Assistance Committee members and other major donors declines by 30% or more from 2025 levels, as measured by UNESCO's annual aid statistics report.

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user-generated· macro

Global education aid drops by 30% by December 2026

Market overview

UNESCO's warning of a 30% decline in global education aid by 2027 is likely to materialize by December 2026, as donor nations face fiscal constraints and prioritize domestic budgets. Historical trends show aid disbursements align closely with forecasted declines.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
85%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Global education aid funding from OECD Development Assistance Committee members and other major donors declines by 30% or more from 2025 levels, as measured by UNESCO's annual aid statistics report.

Source: user-generated

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