Brent crude price drops below $75/barrel by Q4 2026
Resolves: Brent crude futures (ICE Brent) close at or below $75 per barrel on at least 10 trading days in Q4 2026 (October–December inclusive).
user-generated· macro
Brent crude price drops below $75/barrel by Q4 2026
Market overview
China’s increased refinery activity and sustained high output will stabilize regional fuel markets, easing demand-side pressure on oil prices. Combined with potential easing of Iran war tensions, Brent crude is likely to fall below $75 per barrel.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Brent crude futures (ICE Brent) close at or below $75 per barrel on at least 10 trading days in Q4 2026 (October–December inclusive).
Source: user-generated
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