Bank of Japan raises policy rate by 25bps before 2026-11-30
Resolves: Bank of Japan announces an increase in its short-term policy rate by 25 basis points or more before 2026-11-30.
user-generated· macro
Bank of Japan raises policy rate by 25bps before 2026-11-30
Market overview
Options flash bearish yen signals as Tokyo hesitates, but rising inflation pressures may force the BoJ to tighten policy. Market pricing suggests a non-zero probability of a rate hike in late 2026 to curb inflation.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Bank of Japan announces an increase in its short-term policy rate by 25 basis points or more before 2026-11-30.
Source: user-generated
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