RSF captures El Obeid by the end of 2026
Resolves: Rapid Support Forces (RSF) announce full control over El Obeid, Sudan.
user-generated· geopolitics
RSF captures El Obeid by the end of 2026
Market overview
The RSF's strategic position and repeated attacks on El Obeid suggest a strong intent to capture the city. If successful, this could lead to a repeat of the El Fasher massacre, as warned by aid workers and human rights organizations.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Rapid Support Forces (RSF) announce full control over El Obeid, Sudan.
Source: user-generated
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