Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index drops below -1.2 by December 2026
Resolves: Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index closes below -1.20 on the last trading day of December 2026.
user-generated· macro
Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index drops below -1.2 by Decem…
Market overview
Tighter financial conditions are expected as bond yields rise and risk sentiment declines. The Goldman Sachs index, a proxy for liquidity and credit availability, is likely to reflect worsening conditions due to geopolitical pressures.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index closes below -1.20 on the last trading day of December 2026.
Source: user-generated
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