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10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5% by year-end

Resolves: 10-year US Treasury yield closes above 5% on or before 2026-12-31.

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user-generated· macro

10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5% by year-end

Market overview

Rising inflation concerns and global bond selloff will push US Treasury yields higher.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

10-year US Treasury yield closes above 5% on or before 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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