user-generated· macro
Spain's 2026 wildfire season to exceed 2025 burned area by 15%
Market overview
The deadliest wildfire in Bedar alone burned over 12,000 hectares. With climate conditions worsening and 23 still missing, the total burned area in Spain for 2026 is expected to surpass 2025's total of 310,000 hectares.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Spain's total wildfire burned area for 2026 exceeds 356,500 hectares
Source: user-generated
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