Colombia exports 15% less coffee in H2 2026 due to U.S. tariffs
Resolves: Colombia’s coffee exports for the period July 1 to December 31, 2026, are at least 15% lower than the same period in 2025 as reported by Colombia’s National Coffee Federation (FNC).
user-generated· commodities
Colombia exports 15% less coffee in H2 2026 due to U.S. tariffs
Market overview
The ongoing U.S.-Colombia tariff dispute will reduce Colombia’s coffee export volumes by at least 15% in the second half of 2026. This follows the sharp price increases already observed and signals prolonged supply chain disruptions.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia’s coffee exports for the period July 1 to December 31, 2026, are at least 15% lower than the same period in 2025 as reported by Colombia’s National Coffee Federation (FNC).
Source: user-generated
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