U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hits 5.0% by November 2026
Resolves: U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (as reported by U.S. Treasury or Federal Reserve) reaches or exceeds 5.0% at any point during November 2026.
user-generated· macro
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hits 5.0% by November 2026
Market overview
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rises to 5.0% or higher amid sustained oil price inflation and deficit concerns.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (as reported by U.S. Treasury or Federal Reserve) reaches or exceeds 5.0% at any point during November 2026.
Source: user-generated
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