Social Security reform bill introduced by 2027
Resolves: A bipartisan Social Security reform bill is formally introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives by the stated date.
user-generated· macro
Social Security reform bill introduced by 2027
Market overview
A bipartisan Social Security reform bill will be introduced in the House by December 31, 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A bipartisan Social Security reform bill is formally introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives by the stated date.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- New York legislature passes budget before June 15 deadline — 75% Yes
- ACA enrollment drops 25% by 2026 Q4 — 85% Yes
- Sudan's GDP contracts by 3% in 2026 amid continued displacement crisis — 80% Yes
- Violent crime rates in top 20 US cities increase by 8% or more year-over-year — 65% Yes
- Global education aid drops by 30% by December 2026 — 85% Yes
- Fed pauses rate hikes in September 2026, first cut in December — 65% Yes
- U.S. SPR releases increase by 5 million barrels by July 2026 to counter Oman disruptions — 75% Yes
- Federal Reserve warns of systemic risk from concentrated trillionaire wealth — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…