Iran oil exports fall below 1 million bpd by Dec 2026
Resolves: Iran's oil exports drop below 1 million barrels per day as reported by EIA or OPEC by Dec 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Iran oil exports fall below 1 million bpd by Dec 2026
Market overview
U.S. sanctions reduce Iran's oil exports to under 1 million barrels per day by December 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Iran's oil exports drop below 1 million barrels per day as reported by EIA or OPEC by Dec 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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