Sri Lanka's debt-to-GDP ratio falls below 90% by Q4 2026
Resolves: Sri Lanka's official debt-to-GDP ratio reported by the World Bank or Sri Lankan government is <90% in Q4 2026.
user-generated· macro
Sri Lanka's debt-to-GDP ratio falls below 90% by Q4 2026
Market overview
Sri Lanka's total debt-to-GDP ratio will decrease to below 90% by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026, driven by debt restructuring agreements and fiscal reforms. This comes after Sri Lanka spent 16 times more on debt than education in 2025, per UNESCO data.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Sri Lanka's official debt-to-GDP ratio reported by the World Bank or Sri Lankan government is <90% in Q4 2026.
Source: user-generated
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