Colombia exports to U.S. coffee market decline by 15% by 2027-03-31
Resolves: Colombia’s coffee exports to the U.S. decline by ≥15% year-over-year by Q1 2027, per USDA or Colombian Coffee Growers Federation data.
user-generated· commodities
Colombia exports to U.S. coffee market decline by 15% by 2027-03-31
Market overview
Colombia’s coffee exports to the U.S. fall at least 15% due to retaliatory tariffs.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia’s coffee exports to the U.S. decline by ≥15% year-over-year by Q1 2027, per USDA or Colombian Coffee Growers Federation data.
Source: user-generated
More commodities markets
- Colombia reduces coffee exports to U.S. by 20% within 6 months — 60% Yes
- Arabica coffee prices exceed $3.50 per pound by 2026-12-31 — 75% Yes
- Colombian coffee exports to the U.S. drop by 15% by 2026-12-31 — 75% Yes
- Colombia's 2026 coffee export volume drops 12% YoY — 80% Yes
- Arabica coffee futures to exceed $3.50/lb by December 2026 — 78% Yes
- Arabica coffee futures to exceed $3.50/lb by Dec 2026 — 75% Yes
- Global iron ore prices drop 15% by December 2026 — 68% Yes
- Arabica coffee futures exceed $2.80/lb by 2026-12-31 — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…