Colombia reduces coffee exports to U.S. by 20% within 6 months
Resolves: Colombia's coffee exports to the U.S. decline by 20% or more compared to the same 6-month period in 2025-2026, as reported by U.S. Department of Agriculture or Colombian Coffee Growers Federation (FNC).
user-generated· commodities
Colombia reduces coffee exports to U.S. by 20% within 6 months
Market overview
Retaliatory tariffs imposed by Colombia on U.S. goods are expected to extend to agricultural exports, including coffee. A 20% reduction in Colombian coffee shipments to the U.S. would tighten supply further and sustain price pressure.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-01-08
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia's coffee exports to the U.S. decline by 20% or more compared to the same 6-month period in 2025-2026, as reported by U.S. Department of Agriculture or Colombian Coffee Growers Federation (FNC).
Source: user-generated
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