Fed cuts rates by 50bps within 6 months of Iran conflict
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts rates by 50bps within 6 months of Iran conflict
Market overview
Trump’s Iran policy risks stagflation, with rising oil prices squeezing consumers while growth slows. The Fed would likely respond with aggressive rate cuts to offset recessionary pressures, despite inflationary headwinds. Trump’s political vulnerability on inflation would force the Fed to act preemptively to stabilize markets.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
Source: user-generated
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