Turkish lira depreciates 15% against USD within 6 months of S&P downgrade
Resolves: Turkish lira depreciates by 15% or more against USD within 6 months after S&P Dow Jones downgrades Turkey's market status
user-generated· macro
Turkish lira depreciates 15% against USD within 6 months of S&P downg…
Market overview
Following a S&P Dow Jones downgrade of Turkey's market status, the Turkish lira will depreciate by at least 15% against the USD within the subsequent 6 months. The downgrade would trigger capital outflows and reduced foreign investment, exacerbating currency pressure.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Turkish lira depreciates by 15% or more against USD within 6 months after S&P Dow Jones downgrades Turkey's market status
Source: user-generated
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