Texas redistricting leads to no net House seat gains for Democrats in…

Market overview

Texas Republicans maintain control over redistricting, limiting Democratic gains despite demographic shifts. Democrats focus more on swing states like Georgia and North Carolina.

elections prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

More elections markets

• Reform UK gains more seats than Labour in 2028 general election — 60% Yes
• GOP gains Tennessee’s 9th congressional seat in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
• Tennessee Democrats gain seats in 2026 midterms due to redistricting delay — 70% Yes
• Democrats replace Platner with candidate polling stronger than him — 72% Yes
• Jim Clyburn loses reelection bid in South Carolina's 6th district — 85% Yes
• John Curtis will secure at least 25% of the primary vote in 2028 — 65% Yes
• Rep. Steve Cohen loses reelection in 2026 after redistricting — 80% Yes
• Susan Collins retains Senate seat with 5+ point margin — 70% Yes

Browse all elections markets →