Colombian coffee exports to U.S. decline by 15% by 2026 Q4
Resolves: Colombian coffee exports to the U.S. are at least 15% lower in Q4 2026 compared to Q2 2026 levels, as reported by the U.S. International Trade Commission.
user-generated· macro
Colombian coffee exports to U.S. decline by 15% by 2026 Q4
Market overview
The U.S.-Colombia tariff dispute will reduce Colombian coffee exports to the U.S. by at least 15% by December 31, 2026, due to retaliatory tariffs and logistical disruptions. Shipping delays and higher costs will drive buyers to alternative suppliers.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombian coffee exports to the U.S. are at least 15% lower in Q4 2026 compared to Q2 2026 levels, as reported by the U.S. International Trade Commission.
Source: user-generated
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