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Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points by December 2026

Resolves: Federal Reserve announces a 50 basis point cut to the federal funds rate at any meeting between July 7, 2026 and December 16, 2026.

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user-generated· macro

Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points by December 20…

Market overview

Inflation has remained under control while economic growth shows signs of moderating. The Federal Reserve is likely to respond with a significant rate cut by the end of 2026 to support the market rally and economic stability.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-16

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Federal Reserve announces a 50 basis point cut to the federal funds rate at any meeting between July 7, 2026 and December 16, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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