10-year Treasury yield to rise above 4.8% by year-end
Resolves: 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.8% on or before 2026-12-31.
user-generated· macro
10-year Treasury yield to rise above 4.8% by year-end
Market overview
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will surpass 4.8% by December 31, 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.8% on or before 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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