ECB raises deposit facility rate to 3.75% by March 2027
Resolves: The ECB’s deposit facility rate is set at 3.75% or higher in the ECB’s policy statement or press conference ending by March 31, 2027, based on ECB official communications.
user-generated· macro
ECB raises deposit facility rate to 3.75% by March 2027
Market overview
The European Central Bank will be forced to hike rates further to defend the euro and curb imported inflation from rising U.S. rates and Trump’s tariff policies. Lagarde’s dovish stance will reverse under market pressure.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The ECB’s deposit facility rate is set at 3.75% or higher in the ECB’s policy statement or press conference ending by March 31, 2027, based on ECB official communications.
Source: user-generated
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