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Girls' school enrollment rates in target regions decline by 15% by September 2027

Resolves: UNICEF or UNESCO reports a 15% or greater decline in girls' higher education enrollment rates in the target regions (Africa, Asia, Middle East) compared to a June 2026 baseline

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user-generated· macro

Girls' school enrollment rates in target regions decline by 15% by Se…

Market overview

The cancellation of SHEFE funding will reduce access to higher education for girls in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East, leading to a measurable decline in enrollment rates. A 15% drop in enrollment is expected within 14 months, based on the program's historical impact and funding gap.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2027-09-30

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Resolution criteria

UNICEF or UNESCO reports a 15% or greater decline in girls' higher education enrollment rates in the target regions (Africa, Asia, Middle East) compared to a June 2026 baseline

Source: user-generated

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