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DRC Ebola outbreak death toll exceeds 5,000 by December 2026

Resolves: Official WHO or DRC Ministry of Health data shows cumulative Ebola deaths in DRC exceeding 5,000 by 2026-12-31.

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DRC Ebola outbreak death toll exceeds 5,000 by December 2026

Market overview

The current Ebola outbreak in DRC has already caused significant mortality due to delayed response. With USAID funding cuts reducing surveillance and preparedness, the total death toll will surpass 5,000 before December 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Official WHO or DRC Ministry of Health data shows cumulative Ebola deaths in DRC exceeding 5,000 by 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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