U.S. dollar strengthens 3% if tariffs are fully enacted

Market overview

If Trump's tariffs survive legal challenges and are fully implemented by late 2026, the U.S. dollar would appreciate as import prices rise, boosting trade balances and reducing imports. Currency markets would price in higher U.S. economic resilience relative to trade partners.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

63%

Source: user-generated

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