NATO members increase defense spending by 3% by 2027
Resolves: NATO's official defense spending report for 2026 shows aggregate spending by European members and Canada exceeds 3% of GDP.
user-generated· macro
NATO members increase defense spending by 3% by 2027
Market overview
Trump's threats to reduce U.S. military support will force EU nations to accelerate defense spending increases. Germany, France, and Poland are expected to lead the push to meet NATO's 2% target and surpass it.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
NATO's official defense spending report for 2026 shows aggregate spending by European members and Canada exceeds 3% of GDP.
Source: user-generated
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