Colombia exports 20% less Arabica coffee to U.S. by December 2026
Resolves: Colombia’s National Federation of Coffee Growers confirms a 20% YoY reduction in Arabica coffee exports to the U.S. by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Colombia exports 20% less Arabica coffee to U.S. by December 2026
Market overview
The tariff dispute will lead Colombian coffee exporters to divert 20% of their U.S.-bound Arabica shipments to Europe or Asia by December 2026. Colombia’s coffee federation will report a 20% year-over-year decline in U.S. exports.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia’s National Federation of Coffee Growers confirms a 20% YoY reduction in Arabica coffee exports to the U.S. by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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