Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 bps by December 2026
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowers the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in its December 2026 meeting or earlier.
user-generated· macro
Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 bps by December 2026
Market overview
Market expectations for a Fed rate cut have risen due to recent economic data and global growth concerns, suggesting a policy shift in the latter half of 2026. This prediction assumes the Fed prioritizes economic stability over inflation control amid cooling labor markets.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowers the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in its December 2026 meeting or earlier.
Source: user-generated
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