Brent crude exceeds $95/bbl by Q4 2026 amid Hormuz Strait tensions
Resolves: Brent crude oil price closes above $95 per barrel on at least one trading day by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Brent crude exceeds $95/bbl by Q4 2026 amid Hormuz Strait tensions
Market overview
Geopolitical risks in the Hormuz Strait are intensifying, with Iran-backed groups maintaining pressure on regional shipping. Global oil inventories remain tight, and any further disruption to Hormuz flows will push Brent crude above $95 per barrel by December 31, 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Brent crude oil price closes above $95 per barrel on at least one trading day by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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