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U.S. GDP growth slows to 1.2% in Q4 2026

Resolves: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports Q4 2026 GDP growth (annualized) of 1.2% or lower.

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user-generated· macro

U.S. GDP growth slows to 1.2% in Q4 2026

Market overview

Impact of tariffs reduces U.S. GDP growth to 1.2% in Q4 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports Q4 2026 GDP growth (annualized) of 1.2% or lower.

Source: user-generated

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