UK inflation rises above 3.5% by December 2026
Resolves: UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeds 3.5% in December 2026 according to ONS data.
user-generated· macro
UK inflation rises above 3.5% by December 2026
Market overview
The Bank of England has signaled potential interest rate hikes due to inflation risks. Given Reeves' acknowledgment of inflation still being above target, economic data trends are likely to push CPI above 3.5% by year-end 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeds 3.5% in December 2026 according to ONS data.
Source: user-generated
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