European NATO members increase defense spending by 15% by mid-2027
Resolves: Combined NATO European members' defense spending reaches at least 2.5% of their combined GDP, as reported by NATO's official annual report or equivalent authoritative source.
user-generated· macro
European NATO members increase defense spending by 15% by mid-2027
Market overview
Facing Trump's threats to reduce U.S. military support, European NATO members will accelerate defense spending increases to at least 2.5% of GDP by mid-2027. Germany, France, and Poland will lead the push to close the perceived gap in NATO capabilities.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Combined NATO European members' defense spending reaches at least 2.5% of their combined GDP, as reported by NATO's official annual report or equivalent authoritative source.
Source: user-generated
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