S&P 500 ends 2026 lower than May 10 futures level
user-generated· macro
S&P 500 ends 2026 lower than May 10 futures level
Market overview
As US-Iran deal prospects wane, equity markets face downward pressure from rising geopolitical risk premiums. The S&P 500 is likely to close 2026 below the May 10 futures level of ~5,450, reflecting sustained volatility.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
Source: user-generated
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