Global education aid drops 25% by December 2026
Resolves: UNESCO or OECD releases verified data showing a ≥25% reduction in global education aid from 2023 baseline levels.
user-generated· macro
Global education aid drops 25% by December 2026
Market overview
Official development assistance for global education will decline by at least 25% from 2023 levels by December 2026, as predicted by UNESCO. This drop aligns with trends where 18 countries already spend five times more on debt than education, exacerbating funding gaps.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UNESCO or OECD releases verified data showing a ≥25% reduction in global education aid from 2023 baseline levels.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…