US startup filings surpass 4M in H2 2026
Resolves: US Census Bureau reports over 4M new business filings for July-December 2026.
user-generated· macro
US startup filings surpass 4M in H2 2026
Market overview
New business applications in the US will exceed 4 million in the second half of 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US Census Bureau reports over 4M new business filings for July-December 2026.
Source: user-generated
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