S&P 500 rises 1% if April jobs exceed 125,000

Market overview

JPMorgan assigns a 10% probability to a jobs report exceeding 125,000, which would signal strong economic growth and reduce stagflation fears. This scenario would likely lift the S&P 500 by 1% as investors price in reduced recession risks.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

10%

Source: user-generated

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