Fed cuts interest rates by 50bps by Dec 2026
Resolves: The Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate by at least 50 basis points between July 9, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts interest rates by 50bps by Dec 2026
Market overview
Market sentiment favors monetary easing due to cooling inflation and economic softening. A 50-basis-point cut would signal aggressive policy response to stabilize growth.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate by at least 50 basis points between July 9, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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