Fed funds rate remains above 5.25% through December 2026
Resolves: The federal funds rate target range remains above 5.25% as per the Fed's official policy statements or FOMC meeting minutes through 2026-12-31.
user-generated· macro
Fed funds rate remains above 5.25% through December 2026
Market overview
The Federal Reserve will maintain its benchmark federal funds rate above 5.25% through at least December 2026, defying expectations of rate cuts. This reflects persistent inflation concerns.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The federal funds rate target range remains above 5.25% as per the Fed's official policy statements or FOMC meeting minutes through 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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