Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 due to mining

The desert rain frog will be declared extinct in the wild by the IUCN Red List before 2028, as diamond mining in its Namibian habitat intensifies. Despite captive breeding attempts, habitat destruction will outpace conservation efforts.

extinction · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2028-06-30

More extinction markets

• Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2029 — 60% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct by 2030 if mining continues — 60% Yes
• IUCN declares at least 15 deep-sea mollusc species extinct by 2029 — 60% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 — 62% Yes
• Desert rain frog declared extinct by 2028 due to mining — 68% Yes
• First deep-sea vent mollusc species declared extinct by 2028 — 60% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 due to diamond mining — 68% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinction declared before 2027 — 68% Yes

Browse all extinction markets →