Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2029

The desert rain frog population will collapse by 2029 due to continued diamond mining expansion in southern Africa. Despite conservation efforts, habitat loss and mining pollution will exceed the species' adaptive resilience.

extinction · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2029-12-31

More extinction markets

• Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 due to mining — 68% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct by 2030 if mining continues — 60% Yes
• IUCN declares at least 15 deep-sea mollusc species extinct by 2029 — 60% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 — 62% Yes
• Desert rain frog declared extinct by 2028 due to mining — 68% Yes
• First deep-sea vent mollusc species declared extinct by 2028 — 60% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 due to diamond mining — 68% Yes
• Desert rain frog extinction declared before 2027 — 68% Yes

Browse all extinction markets →