user-generated· extinction
IUCN declares at least 15 deep-sea mollusc species extinct by 2029
By 2029, scientific surveys confirm the extinction of at least 15 deep-sea mollusc species previously listed as endangered due to deep-sea mining activities. This will be the first documented mass extinction event directly linked to human commercial exploitation of hydrothermal vents.
extinction · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2029-12-31
More extinction markets
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- Desert rain frog extinct by 2030 if mining continues — 60% Yes
- Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 — 62% Yes
- Desert rain frog declared extinct by 2028 due to mining — 68% Yes
- First deep-sea vent mollusc species declared extinct by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Desert rain frog extinct in wild by 2028 due to diamond mining — 68% Yes
- Desert rain frog extinction declared before 2027 — 68% Yes
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