World Cup holiday observed by less than 40% of U.S. workers by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Less than 40% of U.S. workers have a paid day off on the 2026 World Cup national holiday as measured by a credible national labor survey conducted by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
World Cup holiday observed by less than 40% of U.S. workers by 2026-1…
Market overview
Significant employer resistance and state-level rollbacks reduce holiday observance nationwide. Surveys indicate only a minority of employers grant the day off, with many citing operational necessity and economic strain as reasons.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Less than 40% of U.S. workers have a paid day off on the 2026 World Cup national holiday as measured by a credible national labor survey conducted by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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