UK government bond yields rise by 50bps within Burnham’s first 100 days
Resolves: UK 10-year government bond yield increases by at least 50 basis points from the level on 2026-07-11, within 100 days of Andy Burnham’s premiership.
user-generated· macro
UK government bond yields rise by 50bps within Burnham’s first 100 da…
Market overview
Reeves’ exit from office and Burnham’s transition may unsettle markets, especially given high debt levels. Investor unease over Labour’s economic credibility could drive gilt yields higher as Burnham grapples with fiscal constraints and spending demands.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-11-20
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK 10-year government bond yield increases by at least 50 basis points from the level on 2026-07-11, within 100 days of Andy Burnham’s premiership.
Source: user-generated
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