Moore's video sparks 20% increase in small business optimism by December 2026
Resolves: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index on 2026-12-31 is at least 20% higher than the index value on 2026-07-01.
user-generated· macro
Moore's video sparks 20% increase in small business optimism by Decem…
Market overview
Moore's positive message about the American Dream revitalizes small business owners, leading to a significant uptick in optimism. By December 2026, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is at least 20% higher than its July 2026 level.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 62%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index on 2026-12-31 is at least 20% higher than the index value on 2026-07-01.
Source: user-generated
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