U.S. loneliness rates rise 15% by 2027 due to declining socialization
Resolves: U.S. Surgeon General's Loneliness Index (or equivalent official measure) exceeds 57.0 by 2027-12-31
user-generated· macro
U.S. loneliness rates rise 15% by 2027 due to declining socialization
Market overview
The sustained 20% drop in daily socializing time since 2006 will correlate with a measurable increase in loneliness metrics. The U.S. Surgeon General's loneliness index is projected to rise from 49.5 in 2026 to above 57 by December 2027, based on the continuation of current socialization trends.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. Surgeon General's Loneliness Index (or equivalent official measure) exceeds 57.0 by 2027-12-31
Source: user-generated
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