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10-year US Treasury yield surpasses 5% by Q1 2027

Resolves: 10-year US Treasury yield closes above 5% on or before 2027-03-31.

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user-generated· macro

10-year US Treasury yield surpasses 5% by Q1 2027

Market overview

Increased inflation expectations and reduced bond demand will push yields higher.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2027-03-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

10-year US Treasury yield closes above 5% on or before 2027-03-31.

Source: user-generated

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