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10Y yield exceeds 4.5% by Dec 2026

Resolves: US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.5% on any trading day between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-31.

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user-generated· macro

10Y yield exceeds 4.5% by Dec 2026

Market overview

US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.5% on any day before 2027.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.5% on any trading day between 2026-09-07 and 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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