Federal Reserve to cut rates by 50bps in November 2026
Resolves: Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes or official statement announces a 50 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate.
user-generated· macro
Federal Reserve to cut rates by 50bps in November 2026
Market overview
Persistent inflation below the Fed's 2% target and a cooling labor market are pressuring the Fed to act. Market pricing indicates a high probability of a 50bps cut by year-end, with November being the most likely timing. This would mark a shift from the current restrictive stance.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes or official statement announces a 50 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate.
Source: user-generated
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