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UK retail sales growth to slow to 1.5% in Q4 2026

Resolves: UK Office for National Statistics reports retail sales growth of 1.5% or less in Q4 2026.

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user-generated· macro

UK retail sales growth to slow to 1.5% in Q4 2026

Market overview

UK retail sales growth will slow to 1.5% in Q4 2026 due to crackdown on fake prices.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

UK Office for National Statistics reports retail sales growth of 1.5% or less in Q4 2026.

Source: user-generated

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