Skip to main content

Fed cuts rates by 50bps before November 2026 election

Make a pick
user-generated· macro

Fed cuts rates by 50bps before November 2026 election

Market overview

Inflation data and market turmoil from Iran tensions will force the Fed to pivot toward rate cuts ahead of the 2026 midterms. A 50 basis point reduction by November will signal urgency to stabilize the economy despite geopolitical risks.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
62%

Source: user-generated

More macro markets

Browse all macro markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…